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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Allen Lazard has been used less as a potential target this season (89.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.3%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to total 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • Allen Lazard has put up far more air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 63.8%.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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