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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

Allen Lazard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+173/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +173.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

Allen Lazard has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.1% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile among WRs.

Allen Lazard has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (98.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

Allen Lazard's 57.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 28.8.

Allen Lazard ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.80 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 63.3%.

The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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