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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

Allen Lazard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Allen Lazard has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 22.4% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.

Allen Lazard has posted significantly more air yards this season (94.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).

Allen Lazard's 55.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 27.7.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 63.5%.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

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