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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-310).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Allen Lazard has put up far more air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • Allen Lazard's 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 28.8.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Allen Lazard grades out in the 95th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.62 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to be a less important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line this week (23.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (28.9% in games he has played).
  • Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 63.8%.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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