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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

Alexander Mattison has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Alexander Mattison to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this week's game (48.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.0% in games he has played).

With a very bad total of 3.60 adjusted yards per carry (25th percentile) this year, Alexander Mattison ranks among the worst RBs in the NFL at the position.

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