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Alexander Mattison
NFL · Player Props
Alexander Mattison
RB · Minnesota Vikings
Rushing Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 24, 2023 12:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • This week, Alexander Mattison is predicted by the model to finish in the 76th percentile among running backs with 12.6 carries.
  • After making up 17.8% of his offense's run game usage last season, Alexander Mattison has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at 73.9%.
  • Alexander Mattison has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (51.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
Favors Under
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to run on 31.0% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
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