My Account Log Out

reorder

Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week, Alexander Mattison is predicted by the model to finish in the 76th percentile among running backs with 12.6 carries.

After making up 17.8% of his offense's run game usage last season, Alexander Mattison has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at 73.9%.

Alexander Mattison has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (51.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to run on 31.0% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

More Alexander Mattison Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™