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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alexander Mattison's 47.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a substantial growth in his running skills over last year's 16.0 figure.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (137 per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

The Packers safeties profile as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup QB Jaren Hall.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 38.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.

The model projects Alexander Mattison to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (19.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.0% in games he has played).

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