Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the weak Denver Broncos run defense has been torched for a monstrous 161.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the worst in the league.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Denver's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 39.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

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