Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-109/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 34.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Alexander Mattison has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this season (22.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (34.3%).
Alexander Mattison has rushed for substantially fewer yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

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