Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 35.5% run rate.
Alexander Mattison has run for many fewer yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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