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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 35.5% run rate.
  • Alexander Mattison has run for many fewer yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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