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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Alexander Mattison has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (18.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (34.3%).

Alexander Mattison has run for many fewer yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).

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