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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Alexander Mattison has been more involved as a potential target this year (48.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (22.0%).
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings to run the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Alexander Mattison's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 83.9% to 71.7%.

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