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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to accumulate 3.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Alexander Mattison has been among the worst RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging just 0.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 24th percentile among RBs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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