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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to notch 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Alexander Mattison's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 83.9% to 68.0%.

Alexander Mattison's receiving efficiency has declined this year, totaling a measly 2.64 yards-per-target compared to a 5.84 figure last year.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) versus running backs since the start of last season.

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