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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Alexander Mattison has been more involved as a potential target this year (48.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (22.0%).

When talking about air yards, Alexander Mattison ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a remarkable 3.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Vikings to run the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Alexander Mattison's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 83.9% to 71.7%.

Alexander Mattison's 4.5 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a substantial decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.8 figure.

Alexander Mattison's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 6.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.93 figure last year.

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