Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
This year, the anemic Denver Broncos defense has conceded a monstrous 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
This year, the feeble Denver Broncos defense has been gouged for the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a whopping 8.67 YAC.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

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