Alexander Mattison Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the projection model to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Chicago's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to run on 38.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The Vikings have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to be a less important option in his team's running game in this contest (50.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.1% in games he has played).

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