Alexander Mattison Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to garner 15.4 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 32.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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