Alexander Mattison Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.2 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to accrue 14.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.
After making up 17.8% of his offense's carries last season, Alexander Mattison has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for 63.3%.

Favors Under

The Vikings will be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
The Saints linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Alexander Mattison Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow