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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.2 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.

The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to accrue 14.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After making up 17.8% of his offense's carries last season, Alexander Mattison has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for 63.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings will be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The Saints linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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