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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-122/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to total 14.6 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Alexander Mattison to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (61.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.8% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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