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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Alec Pierce's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 50.7% to 56.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 53.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).

Alec Pierce's 83.8% Route% this year shows a noteworthy diminishment in his pass game volume over last year's 94.1% figure.

The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) versus wide receivers this year (58.4%).

The Texans linebackers project as the 10th-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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