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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.

While Alec Pierce has garnered 14.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Indianapolis's passing attack this week at 19.5%.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Alec Pierce's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 50.7% to 55.9%.

The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.9%) versus wideouts this year (68.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

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