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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projections to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
  • Alec Pierce's 90.1% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a remarkable boost in his air attack usage over last season's 73.2% figure.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Alec Pierce's 56.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a significant progression in his receiving talent over last season's 52.9% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive strategy to skew 1.0% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) this year.

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