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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Alec Pierce's 89.6% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a noteworthy growth in his passing offense utilization over last year's 73.2% figure.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive blueprint to tilt 1.6% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • At the present time, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has conceded a paltry 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New Orleans's LB corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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