Alec Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The Colts have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
Alec Pierce's 88.3% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a a substantial improvement in his passing game utilization over last year's 73.2% mark.
The Indianapolis O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

With a 58.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Colts.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.0 per game) this year.
Alec Pierce's 49.5% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a a substantial decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 52.9% rate.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (44.1%) vs. WRs this year (44.1%).
The Browns safeties project as the 8th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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