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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Alec Pierce has gone out for fewer passes this year (94.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (73.2%).

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a poor 53.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (4th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce stands among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's collection of CBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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