Alec Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing just 49.9% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 1st percentile among wideouts
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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