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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Alec Pierce has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 54.6% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 5th percentile among WRs

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) vs. WRs this year (62.1%).

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