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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the projections to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Alec Pierce's 79.3% Snap% this season reflects a noteable decrease in his offensive volume over last season's 95.1% rate.

After totaling 59.0 air yards per game last season, Alec Pierce has seen a big uptick this season, now averaging 98.0 per game.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (just 28.4 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Dolphins defense has conceded a measly 120.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-fewest in football.

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