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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Colts to be the least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 51.8% pass rate.

The model projects the Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

After accruing 59.0 air yards per game last season, Alec Pierce has been rising this season, now averaging 93.0 per game.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

Alec Pierce's 37.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks an impressive boost in his receiving talent over last year's 26.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.

Alec Pierce has run fewer routes this season (83.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (94.1%).

Alec Pierce is positioned as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 50.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among wide receivers

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