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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Alec Pierce has been a less important option in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 80.7% of snaps vs 95.1% last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, yielding 7.17 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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