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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Colts being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to call the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a massive 61.0 per game on average).

The Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) this year.

Alec Pierce has run fewer routes this year (94.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (73.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive approach to lean 1.7% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Colts to pass on 56.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Alec Pierce has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).

Alec Pierce's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 52.9% to 48.2%.

With a lackluster 0.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Alec Pierce places as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league in picking up extra yardage.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

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