Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
Alec Pierce has earned a monstrous 25.2% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Alec Pierce has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 53.0% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile among wideouts
Alec Pierce has been among the least effective receivers in the league, averaging just 7.28 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 17th percentile among wideouts
Alec Pierce has been among the worst wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 9th percentile.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.