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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Alec Pierce has gone out for fewer passes this year (94.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (73.2%).
  • Alec Pierce grades out in the 78th percentile among wideouts this year with a whopping 24.5% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a poor 53.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (4th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce stands among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
  • With a subpar 7.4 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce ranks as one of the worst WRs in the game in football.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's collection of CBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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