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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 60.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to run 68.4 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Alec Pierce to notch 7.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Alec Pierce profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL, completing a measly 54.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among wideouts

Alec Pierce checks in as one of the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a mere 7.37 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 25th percentile when it comes to wideouts

The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 124.0) versus wide receivers this year.

The Falcons pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.3%) to wide receivers this year (61.3%).

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