Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+113/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in football (176.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, yielding 8.93 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has allowed their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.15 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in football.