Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a mere 52.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among wideouts
Alec Pierce has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a mere 7.57 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 24th percentile among wide receivers
Alec Pierce has been among the worst wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

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