Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Alec Pierce has posted a monstrous 63.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile among wideouts.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the most receiving yards per game in the league (170.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 9.19 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a mere 54.6% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 5th percentile among WRs
Alec Pierce has been among the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.

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