Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 58.2% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among wide receivers
Alec Pierce has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) to wideouts this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).

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