Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Alec Pierce has totaled a colossal 64.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (75.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (75.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 61.3% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 25th percentile among wideouts
Alec Pierce has been among the bottom wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.09 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.