My Account Log Out

reorder

Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-103/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Houston Texans defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in football (158.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

The Houston Texans pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 9.44 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The Colts rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 60.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.

The Houston Texans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.82 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the league.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™