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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Alec Pierce Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+258/-425).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -389 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -425.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.

Alec Pierce has put up a whopping 66.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among WRs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 10th-most TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line has afforded their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Alec Pierce grades out in the 1st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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