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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+389/-814).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -677 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -814.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Alec Pierce has earned a whopping 28.3% of his team's air yards this year: 82nd percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Alec Pierce has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a mere 52.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among wideouts

Alec Pierce grades out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.09 per game.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) vs. WRs this year (64.4%).

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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