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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+297/-526).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +382 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +297.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Alec Pierce has totaled a colossal 64.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among wideouts.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (75.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (75.8%).

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Alec Pierce has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 61.3% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 25th percentile among wideouts

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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