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Alec Ingold
NFL · Player Props
Alec Ingold
FB · Miami Dolphins
Receiving Yards
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Alec Ingold Receiving Yards

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -116.

Favors Over
  • When talking about air yards, Alec Ingold grades out in the towering 88th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a striking 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Alec Ingold's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates an impressive progression in his receiving ability over last year's 72.4% mark.
  • Alec Ingold's 8.4 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 6.5 rate.
  • This year, the shaky Jets defense has surrendered the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a staggering 7.66 YAC.
Favors Under
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 23-mph being projected in this game) generally mean worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased run volume.
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