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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Alec Ingold Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Alec Ingold has notched a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile among running backs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Alec Ingold's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 72.4% to 82.1%.
  • Alec Ingold's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a noteable gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.5 figure.
  • This year, the poor Titans defense has yielded the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a massive 6.76 yards.
  • This year, the porous Titans defense has surrendered the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a massive 7.54 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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