Alec Ingold Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

My Account Log Out

reorder

Alec Ingold

NFL · Player Props

Alec Ingold

FB · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.
Alec Ingold has accumulated a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Alec Ingold's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 72.1% to 78.4%.
Alec Ingold's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 8.45 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.05 figure last season.
The Jets defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (43.0) to RBs this year.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by the predictive model to run just 64.0 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.2 per game) this year.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

More Alec Ingold Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow