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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.

Alec Ingold has accumulated a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Alec Ingold's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 72.1% to 78.4%.

Alec Ingold's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 8.45 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.05 figure last season.

The Jets defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (43.0) to RBs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Dolphins, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are expected by the predictive model to run just 64.0 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.2 per game) this year.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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