Albert Okwuegbunam Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Albert Okwuegbunam

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM EST

Analysis

Albert Okwuegbunam Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects Albert Okwuegbunam to accumulate 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Albert Okwuegbunam to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (16.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.4% in games he has played).
Albert Okwuegbunam's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 81.7% to 100.0%.
Albert Okwuegbunam has been among the leading tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.