Albert Okwuegbunam Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Albert Okwuegbunam

NFL · Player Props

Albert Okwuegbunam

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 11:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Albert Okwuegbunam Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+262/-440).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +285 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +262.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Albert Okwuegbunam has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in an impressive 81.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (78.4%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (78.4%).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the 4th-most passing touchdowns in the league to tight ends: 0.53 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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