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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

A.J. Green Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers this year (68.4%).

The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A.J. Green has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (10.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.1%).

A.J. Green's receiving performance has diminished this season, totaling a measly 2.0 yards per game vs 3.1 last season.

A.J. Green's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.1% to 47.0%.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More A.J. Green Player Props

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