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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

A.J. Green Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers this year (68.4%).
  • The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • A.J. Green has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (10.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.1%).
  • A.J. Green's receiving performance has diminished this season, totaling a measly 2.0 yards per game vs 3.1 last season.
  • A.J. Green's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.1% to 47.0%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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